I went 10/13 with my predictions of the Indie Spirits today -- my misfires came in the Best Picture and Best Actress categories thinking that Winter's Bone had the edge over Black Swan. Not that Winter's Bone didn't have a good night (it won in the Best Supporting categories - I thought that Bill Murray had the edge over John Hawkes is where I flubbed as well) but it was indeed a Black Swan event -- with additional wins for Directing (Darren Aronofsky) and Cinematography (Matthew Libatique). You can find the winners in bold below.
Admittedly, I'm pretending I haven't seen the film's trailer and pretending that I know nothing about Columbia Pictures snubbing the 2010 calendar or canceling the pegged January date. Based on the Black List script, lensed by the great Harris Savides and directed by Gus Van Sant (the Good Will Hunting not the Paranoid Park kind).
I distinctly remember George Ratliff's Joshua being a well-received buyer title in Park City. Currently in post-production, Ratliff might make it two for two with what appears to be a high value title for pick-up. Salvation Boulevard which packs several Sundance alumni in Jennifer Connelly, Ed Harris, Pierce Brosnan, Marisa Tomei, Isabelle Fuhrman, Greg Kinnear and Jim Gaffigan, should be in the cards for the fest, that's if Sundance don't have a problem with the anti-church wave of films where, this, Farmiga's Higher Ground and Kevin Smith's film might form an unlikely thematic trio.
The character of Dickie Eklund should remind voters that when Bale commits to a role, he really does take it one step further than the rest. Unofficial pics show how much weight he lost for a role that originally had Matt Damon and then Brad Pitt attached. Ecklund, fought Sugar Ray Leonard and then fought drug addiction. Then he helped train his brother to an audience friendly ending. His level of commitment should bring him not only his first nom, but his first win - plus Oscar loves its boxers: Rocky, Jake LaMotta, Hilary Swank.
Screen Daily made up their own Tips list with some surprise titles that I don't think will make it to Cannes (although I badly want to see Abdellatif Kechiche's Black Venus, I think he might return to Venice), and some titles that have a good shot which I did not mention (John Cameron Mitchell's Rabbit Hole) and plenty of their list mimics my picks - such as Julie Bertucelli's The Tree.