After dazzling the critic elite at Telluride and cementing its frontrunner status at TIFF, Hamnet appeared poised to gallop away with the Oscar race, but the season took a dramatic turn when Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another opened to a thundering response and galloped through awards season, scooping up the Golden Globes, WGA, PGA, and DGA awards. Sinners from Ryan Coogler emerged as a late-breaking dark horse, from an April release (not unlike Everything Everywhere All at Once three years back) turning tonight’s Oscars into what now feels like a genuine photo finish. One thing is certain: if Sinners starts collecting trophies in the telecast’s first two hours, we could be headed for a truly electric finale and if there are two key categories to watch out for it’s the Best Supporting categories. A Stellan Skarsgård win for Sentimental Value could be interpreted as an evening that will award a handful of films, while a Delroy Lindo win or Best Supporting Actress nod to Wunmi Mosaku means Sinners as indeed shifted the conversation. A Sean Penn means that One Battle After Another will collective the best trophyware. Here are our predictions for all categories!
Best Picture
PREDICTED WINNER: “One Battle After Another”
“Marty Supreme”
“Sentimental Value”
“Bugonia”
“F1”
“Frankenstein”
“Hamnet”
“The Secret Agent”
“Train Dreams”
“Sinners”
Best Actress
PREDICTED WINNER: Jessie Buckley, “Hamnet”
Rose Byrne, “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You”
Kate Hudson, “Song Sung Blue”
Renate Reinsve, “Sentimental Value”
Emma Stone, “Bugonia”
Best Actor
Timothée Chalamet, “Marty Supreme”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “One Battle After Another”
PREDICTED WINNER: Michael B. Jordan, “Sinners”
Ethan Hawke, “Blue Moon”
Wagner Moura, “The Secret Agent”
Best Supporting Actor
Benicio del Toro, “One Battle After Another”
Jacob Elordi, “Frankenstein”
Delroy Lindo, “Sinners”
PREDICTED WINNER: Sean Penn, “One Battle After Another”
Stellan Skarsgård, “Sentimental Value”
Best Supporting Actress
Elle Fanning, “Sentimental Value”
PREDICTED WINNER: Amy Madigan, “Weapons”
Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners”
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”
Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”
Best Director
Chloé Zhao, “Hamnet”
Josh Safdie, “Marty Supreme”
PREDICTED WINNER: Paul Thomas Anderson, “One Battle After Another”
Ryan Coogler, “Sinners”
Joachim Trier, “Sentimental Value”
Best Original Screenplay
“Blue Moon”
“It Was Just An Accident”
“Marty Supreme”
“Sentimental Value”
PREDICTED WINNER: “Sinners”
Best Adapted Screenplay
“Bugonia”
“Frankenstein”
“Hamnet”
PREDICTED WINNER: “One Battle After Another”
“Train Dreams”
Best Cinematography
“Frankenstein”
“Marty Supreme”
PREDICTED WINNER: “One Battle After Another”
“Sinners”
“Train Dreams”
Best Original Score
“Bugonia”
“Frankenstein”
“Hamnet”
“One Battle After Another”
PREDICTED WINNER: “Sinners”
Best Song
“Dear Me” from “Diane Warren: Relentless”
PREDICTED WINNER: “Golden” from “KPop Demon Hunters”
“I Lied To You” from “Sinners”
“Sweet Dreams of Joy” from “Viva Verdi!”
“Train Dreams” from “Train Dreams”
Best Editing
“F1”
“Marty Supreme”
PREDICTED WINNER: “One Battle After Another”
“Sentimental Value”
“Sinners”
Best Casting
“Hamnet”
“Sinners”
“Marty Supreme”
“The Secret Agent”
PREDICTED WINNER: “One Battle After Another”
Best Production Design
“Frankenstein”
“Hamnet”
“Marty Supreme”
PREDICTED WINNER: “Sinners”
“One Battle After Another”
Best Costume Design
“Avatar: Fire and Ash”
PREDICTED WINNER: “Frankenstein”
“Hamnet”
“Marty Supreme”
“Sinners”
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
PREDICTED WINNER: “Frankenstein”
“Sinners”
“Kokuho”
“The Smashing Machine”
“The Ugly Stepsister”
Best Sound
“F1”
“Frankenstein”
PREDICTED WINNER: “One Battle After Another”
“Sinners”
“Sirat”
Best Visual Effects
“Avatar: Fire and Ash”
PREDICTED WINNER: “F1”
“Jurassic World: Rebirth”
“The Lost Bus”
“Sinners”
Best International Feature
“The Secret Agent”
“It Was Just An Accident”
PREDICTED WINNER: “Sentimental Value”
“Sirat”
“The Voice of Hind Rajab”
Best Animated Feature
“Arco”
“Elio”
PREDICTED WINNER: “KPop Demon Hunters”
“Little Amelie or the Character of Rain”
“Zootopia 2”
Best Animated Short
“Butterfly”
“Forever Green”
PREDICTED WINNER: “The Girl Who Cried Pearls”
“Retirement Plan”
“The Three Sisters”
Best Live-Action Short
“Butcher’s Stain”
“A Friend of Dorothy”
“Jane Austen’s Period Drama”
“The Singers”
PREDICTED WINNER: “Two People Exchanging Saliva”
Best Documentary Feature
“The Alabama Solution”
“Come See Me in the Good Light”
“Cutting Through Rocks”
“Mr. Nobody Against Putin”
PREDICTED WINNER: “The Perfect Neighbor”
Best Documentary Short
PREDICTED WINNER: “All the Empty Rooms”
“Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud”
“Children No More: Were and Are Gone”
“The Devil Is Busy”
“Perfectly A Strangeness”
