IONCINEMA.com’s Live Oscar Blog

Here’s our LIVE Oscar Blog for what was a fairly predictable and uneventful night that will go down in the books as the failed “Franco and Hathaway” experiment. ABC might want to start planning the format for the 84th sometime next week.

10:37: Spielberg makes a great point about the “losing films”. Coin this the day that Harvey became king….again.

Best Picture
“Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers
“The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers
“Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers
“The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers
* “The King’s Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers
“127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers
“The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
“Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer
“True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers
“Winter’s Bone” Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers

Who Should Win: The Social Network
Who Will Win: The Social Network
Who Do We Want to See Win: The Social Network

11:25: We get a sense that Sandra has actually seen the nominated perfs. Jesse was great, but Colin was “f**king” better.   

Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”
James Franco in “127 Hours”

Who Should Win: Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”
Who Will Win: Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”
Who Do We Want to See Win: Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”

11:12: What is missing from the previous years are when five actors presented the five nominees. Hate the generic stuff Bridges is reading off – insincere. Williams is a beaut. Portman win no surprise. Shout out to Luc Besson and Darren Aronofsky! CEO of Makingof.com mentions those who never get mentioned.  

Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone”
* Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”

Who Should Win: Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”
Who Will Win: Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
Who Do We Want to See Win: Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”

11:08: Godard is sound asleep right now.

11:03: Stunner! Best Picture now a lock for King’s Speech?!

Directing
“Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
“The Fighter” David O. Russell
“The King’s Speech” Tom Hooper
“The Social Network” David Fincher
“True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Who Should Win: David Fincher
Who Will Win: David Fincher
Who Do We Want to See Win: David Fincher

10:47: I’m wondering how many people saw Country Strong? Newman takes a stand!

Music (Original Song)
“Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
“I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater
“If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
* “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3″ Music and Lyric by Randy Newman

Who Should Win: “If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
Who Will Win: “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3″ Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
Who Do We Want to See Win: “Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey

10:35: “Meet someone like Fincher”

Film Editing
“Black Swan” Andrew Weisblum
“The Fighter” Pamela Martin
“The King’s Speech” Tariq Anwar
“127 Hours” Jon Harris
* “The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

Who Should Win: The Social Network
Who Will Win: The Social Network
Who Do We Want to See Win: The Social Network

10:33: No surprises here = That’ll be four wins total for Inception.

Visual Effects
“Alice in Wonderland” Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
“Hereafter” Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky and Joe Farrell
* “Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
“Iron Man 2” Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick

Who Should Win: Inception
Who Will Win: Inception 
Who Do We Want to See Win: Inception

10:28: Why doesn’t Robert Downey Jr. try out for the hosting job?

10:21: SPC wins again. No way in hell the Academy would have got behind the Banksy doc.

Documentary (Feature)
“Exit through the Gift Shop” Banksy and Jaimie D’Cruz
“Gasland” Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic
* “Inside Job” Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
“Restrepo” Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger
“Waste Land” Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley

Who Should Win: Exit through the Gift Shop
Who Will Win: Inside Job
Who Do We Want to See Win: Exit through the Gift Shop

10:15: Jake Gyllenhaal has a point bout Oscar polls. The most fun acceptance speech tonite: (Mom = craft services!) NYU!

Short Film (Live Action)
“The Confession” Tanel Toom
“The Crush” Michael Creagh
* “God of Love” Luke Matheny
“Na Wewe” Ivan Goldschmidt
“Wish 143” Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite

Documentary (Short Subject)
“Killing in the Name” Jed Rothstein
“Poster Girl” Sara Nesson and Mitchell W. Block
* “Strangers No More” Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon
“Sun Come Up” Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger
“The Warriors of Qiugang” Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon

10:02: Obama? Mandy Moore and Hathaway should totally star as sisters in a movie down the road.

9:59: Tim Burton’s tech team wins again! 

Costume Design
* “Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood
“I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi
“The King’s Speech” Jenny Beavan
“The Tempest” Sandy Powell
“True Grit” Mary Zophres

Who Should Win: “I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi
Who Will Win: * “Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood 
Who Do We Want to See Win: “I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi

9:56: Rick Baker is king again. Universal Pictures wins!

Makeup
“Barney’s Version” Adrien Morot
“The Way Back” Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
*“The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey

9:49: I tend to split my predictions among two films. Should start “listening” more to the noms beforehand for future Oscar pools. 

Sound Editing
* “Inception” Richard King
“Toy Story 3” Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
“Tron: Legacy” Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
“True Grit” Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
“Unstoppable” Mark P. Stoeckinger

Who Should Win: Inception
Who Will Win: Inception 
Who Do We Want to See Win: Inception

9:48: Not much of an expert in the sound categories.

Sound Mixing
*“Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
“The King’s Speech” Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
“Salt” Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
“The Social Network” Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
“True Grit” Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

Who Should Win: True Grit
Who Will Win: True Grit 
Who Do We Want to See Win: True Grit

9:44: NIN! I smell a Best Picture win for The Social Network.

Music (Original Score)
“How to Train Your Dragon” John Powell
“Inception” Hans Zimmer
“The King’s Speech” Alexandre Desplat
“127 Hours” A.R. Rahman
“The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Who Should Win: The Social Network
Who Will Win: The Social Network
Who Do We Want to See Win: The Social Network

9:32: The “Dark Knight” wins. This will be a predictable night up until Best Picture.

Actor in a Supporting Role
* Christian Bale in “The Fighter”
John Hawkes in “Winter’s Bone”
Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech”

Who Should Win: Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech”
Who Will Win: Christian Bale in “The Fighter”
Who Do We Want to See Win: Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech”

9:26 Love to see the final count. I bet Incendies wasn’t far behind. SPC wins again.

Foreign Language Film
“Biutiful” Mexico
“Dogtooth” Greece
* “In a Better World” Denmark
“Incendies” Canada
“Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)” Algeria

Who Should Win: Dogtooth
Who Will Win: Incendies
Who Do We Want to See Win: Dogtooth

9:25: Dull show. Charlie Sheen joke. Still two plus hours.

9:17: Seidler waited a longgggggg time for this. Kudos. 

Writing (Original Screenplay)
“Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh
“The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson;
Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
“Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan
“The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
“The King’s Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler

Who Should Win: The King’s Speech
Who Will Win: The King’s Speech
Who Do We Want to See Win: The King’s Speech

9:14: Well deserved win for Aaron Sorkin.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
“127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
“The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
“Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
“True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
“Winter’s Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

Who Should Win: The Social Network
Who Will Win: The Social Network
Who Do We Want to See Win: The Social Network

9:13: Men in White. Yuck. Coen bros duo.

9:06: Pixar does it again. Why are there only three noms?

Animated Feature Film
“How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
“The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet
* “Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich

Who Should Win: Toy Story 3
Who Will Win: Toy Story 3
Who Do We Want to See Win: The Illusionist

9:03: Glad Short Animated Film category still finds itself on the telecast. 

Short Film (Animated)
“Day & Night” Teddy Newton
“The Gruffalo” Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
“Let’s Pollute” Geefwee Boedoe
* “The Lost Thing” Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
“Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)” Bastien Dubois

9:01: First Banksy joke. Thanks Timberlake.

8:57: Awkward presentation. White trash and ugly coiffes win. Thinking of Leo’s perf in Frozen River.

Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”
* Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”

Who Should Win: Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
Who Will Win: Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
Who Do We Want to See Win: Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”

8:47: Matthew Libatique deserved this one.

Cinematography
“Black Swan” Matthew Libatique
* “Inception” Wally Pfister
“The King’s Speech” Danny Cohen
“The Social Network” Jeff Cronenweth
“True Grit” Roger Deakins

Who Should Win: Black Swan
Who Will Win: Black Swan
Who Do We Want to See Win: Black Swan

8:44: Tim Burton’s trademark mad mad worlds win again. 

Art Direction
* “Alice in Wonderland”
Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1”
Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
“Inception”
Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
“The King’s Speech”
Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr
“True Grit”
Production Design: Jess Gonchor; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh

Who Should Win: Inception
Who Will Win: Inception
Who Do We Want to See Win: The King’s Speech

8:38 Former SNL hosts do a Funny or Die schtick.  

8:33 Montage = works. 

8:30 Will be playing Where’s Waldo tonite. Sorry Where’s Banksy?